LSU Baseball 2014

RPI Team Win Pct RPI SOSRK Non-Conf RPI NC SOS 1-50 Rec 51-100 Rec Last 10
4 Florida 0.655 0.603 1 18 1 62.2% 63.6% 50.0%
8 Vanderbilt 0.695 0.594 4 4 65 54.3% 85.7% 50.0%
10 Ole Miss 0.707 0.589 18 22 134 55.6% 75.0% 60.0%
13 South Carolina 0.724 0.588 27 5 148 57.7% 62.5% 70.0%
14 LSU 0.746 0.587 43 37 268 53.8% 100.0% 70.0%
19 Kentucky 0.614 0.578 3 11 27 55.2% 75.0% 70.0%
24 Alabama 0.607 0.567 7 48 153 46.7% 60.0% 40.0%
30 Mississippi State 0.638 0.562 29 112 199 50.0% 71.4% 70.0%
33 Arkansas 0.627 0.557 34 130 267 51.6% 20.0% 80.0%
37 Texas A&M 0.579 0.555 10 53 146 50.0% 42.9% 50.0%
50 Tennessee 0.574 0.549 28 30 200 46.4% 50.0% 40.0%
59 Georgia 0.473 0.540 2 66 35 32.4% 33.3% 40.0%
74 Auburn 0.500 0.531 12 73 126 40.6% 50.0% 30.0%

After three months of baseball, here’s where we are. The vertigo-inducing chart above (powered by my favorite RPI website!) shows us that it’s likely that 10 of the 14 (sorry, Mizzou, you didn’t even make the cutting room floor) SEC teams will be dancing next week in the big tourney. Further, it’s likely that at least four SEC teams will be able to sit at home next week with regional hosting duties (Florida, Vanderbilt, Ole Miss, South Carolina and LSU). It’s even more likely—especially with Vanderbilt’s early exit from the SEC Tourney—that the SEC will only have one top eight seed (Florida), unless LSU, along with some help, can make a final RPI push with an SEC Tourney crown.

RPI Team Win Pct RPI SOSRK Non-Conf RPI NC SOS 1-50 Rec 51-100 Rec Last 10 Conf RK
1 Virginia 0.782 0.606 25 2 66 65.0% 78.6% 60.0% 3
2 Florida State 0.750 0.603 11 14 71 52.0% 83.3% 70.0% 3
3 Indiana 0.755 0.603 35 8 5 53.3% 75.0% 90.0% 10
4 Florida 0.655 0.603 1 18 1 62.2% 63.6% 50.0% 1
5 Oregon State 0.804 0.599 50 19 139 72.2% 100.0% 80.0% 4
6 Louisiana-Lafayette 0.879 0.597 121 9 114 75.0% 83.3% 90.0% 11
7 Texas 0.704 0.594 5 3 29 58.6% 80.0% 60.0% 2
8 Vanderbilt 0.695 0.594 4 4 65 54.3% 85.7% 50.0% 1
9 Rice 0.696 0.593 8 20 4 44.4% 76.0% 80.0% 8
10 Ole Miss 0.707 0.589 18 22 134 55.6% 75.0% 60.0% 1
11 TCU 0.727 0.589 26 38 115 65.2% 75.0% 80.0% 2
12 Houston 0.737 0.588 32 1 8 50.0% 88.9% 80.0% 7
13 South Carolina 0.724 0.588 27 5 148 57.7% 62.5% 70.0% 1
14 LSU 0.746 0.587 43 37 268 53.8% 100.0% 70.0% 1
15 Miami 0.702 0.584 21 43 43 50.0% 91.7% 70.0% 3
16 Texas Tech 0.690 0.584 16 13 69 50.0% 76.5% 50.0% 2
17 Cal Poly 0.818 0.583 145 21 226 50.0% 77.8% 90.0% 5
18 Louisville 0.772 0.578 78 32 87 46.2% 83.3% 80.0% 7
19 Kentucky 0.614 0.578 3 11 27 55.2% 75.0% 70.0% 1
20 Oregon 0.724 0.576 73 33 182 28.6% 63.6% 80.0% 4

It’s also likely that the top eight seeds will be very similar to the top eight seeds above. Last year, only one of the top eight in WarrenNolan.com’s RPI list did not make a national seed (NC State, #7). Although, there are still two and a half days of baseball left to play so there’s still some tree-shaking to be done.

MOV LSU Baseball

As for LSU’s season, it’s been a tough road to hoe. As with last season, LSU started out strong but once conference season came along (point #19) the team’s offensive woes were exposed. Thankfully, as noted starting at point 51 above (final Alabama Game), the team has dramatically changed its offensive calling card and its game management M.O. and have begun walloping opponents. This has been assisted, of course, by playing Northwestern State: an in-state squad that, though scrappy, is not Omaha/Hoover material; and also Auburn: the worst team in the SEC not named Missouri. Even so, dominating wins this week against Vanderbilt (11-1) and Arkansas (7-2) give hope that our offensive outburst may not be short lived.

Even more encouraging is the six game averages (below) the team has surmounted over the last, well, six games. These can be helpful as they are a more up to the moment statistic. You’ll notice that even in the two championship seasons (2000 and 2009) noted below our averages haven’t usually been this high this late in the season. Later in the season you expect closer averages (and thus, closer games) because the expectation is that you are playing better teams. If you assume that the competition is better and the averages are still high, then you can assume that the team is performing at an above average level. Again, see the above paragraph for your dose of temperance, but even still it can be a glimmer of hope for the games to come.

LSU 6gms

LSU will play the winner of the Ole Miss v. Arkansas game (which plays at 3pm today) on Saturday at noon.

What would be a good food to go along with watching LSU play in an SEC baseball tournament semifinal? These are the questions I love to answer!

 

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